Publications

Real Economy, no.31

Friday, 12 October 2012 Published in Publications
Authors: Adrian Lupușor, Ana Popa, Valeriu Prohnițchi,
The economic stabilization suggested by the Economic Leading Indicator in the previous edition of the Real Economy persisted in August. Therefore, after a continuous decline since autumn last year, the ELI remained stable for two…
High incidence of informal employment has characterized the Moldovan labour market  throughout the transition period. But fighting informal employment entered the agenda of the authorities only recently, in 2011, when losses for budgetary revenues generated…
The current pensions system of the Republic of Moldova is based on the principle of solidarity between generations, according to which the collected contributions are used immediately to pay the pensions. Such a redistributive mechanism…

Real Economy, no.30

Tuesday, 18 September 2012 Published in Publications
Authors: Adrian Lupușor, Ana Popa, Valeriu Prohnițchi,
The process of Moldovan economy cooling down during the recent months has stabilized, at least for a short period of time. This stabilization has been attested by the evolution of the Economic Leading Indicator we…
After a long period of severe underfunding, which practically led to the delapidation of roads network, since 2010 the Republic of Moldova began to increase the funding of the sector. The purpose of this paper…
The recurrence of some tendencies similar to those during 2008-2009 crisis points out the vulnerability of Moldovan economy to external shocks and its incapacity to tackle the challenges from inside the country. We cannot expect…
Ensuring transparency is a key responsibility of the Government and a tool for increasing efficiency and effectiveness of the use of the public financial resources. The purpose of the study presented herein is to conduct…
This document undertakes an analysis of the Governmental report on the execution of the 2011 state budget, with the purpose of understanding how transparent and informative are this class of reports, which are the main…
The Court of Accounts of the Republic of Moldova has published 17 decisions in the 1st and 2nd quarters of 2012, which refer to the audit of the district budgets, public assets management by the…
In April 2012, has developed and launched the Economic Leading Indicator (ELI), a special analytic tool very useful for the assessment of the economic fluctuations and for anticipation of the short-term shocks. With longer time…
This edition no.24 of the quarterly publication Euromonitor evaluates the progress in implmentation of the reforms agreed as part of the cooperation between European Union and Republic of Moldova in the period April-June 2012. The…

Real Economy, no.29

Monday, 25 June 2012 Published in Publications
Authors: Ana Popa, Valeriu Prohnițchi, Adrian Lupușor,
The EXPERT-GRUP's previous expectations regarding negative outlook of the Moldovan economy has been confirmed by the quarterly and monthly economic data recently released. As Real Economy no.29 proves, the economic activity is on the downside,…
This paper was developed for analyzing and comparing the economic impact of the two main integration options which Moldova has: 1) enhancing the economic integration with the European Union by establishing a Deep and Comprehensive…
This edition no.23 of the quarterly publication Euromonitor evaluates the progress in implmentation of the reforms agreed as part of the cooperation between European Union and Republic of Moldova in the period January-March 2012. The…
Advancing social goals through public policies is one of Government's main roles. However, the alternatives available for reaping social benefits should be carefully weighted against the costs and benefits these alternative set of actions generate.…
The process of implementation of Court of Accounts' recommendations is extremenly important to monitor for it does not suffice to point out to what is wrong in the administration of public resources, one also needs…

Real Economy no.27

Friday, 27 April 2012 Published in Publications
Authors: Ana Popa, Adrian Lupușor, Valeriu Prohnițchi,
The economic leading indicator (ELI) continued its downward trend in February, revealing the cooling down of the Moldovan economy, which might persist in the near future. Thus, the indicator decreased by 1.1 p.p., which has…
The Agricultural Subsidies fund has become in the recent years one of the most important policy tools shaping the development of the Moldovan agricultural sector. The purpose of this paper is to analyse how the…
This policy brief analyzes the Law project adopted by the Government Decision no. 166 of March 16, 2012, which includes a series of amendments to the Law of the National Bank of Moldova (NBM). Our…
One of the main lessons learned after the economic crisis of 2009 has been the need to improve the Government capacities to anticipate, prevent and adequately manage the potential negative trends in the national economy.…
The Government continued to carry out actions for fulfilling the undertaken commitments in the area of human right, but this process has developed slowly, with delays or even without any progress in many important areas.…
The purpose of this analysis is to simulate, with a Structural Vector Auto Regressive (SVAR) Model, the impact of monetary policy decisions of the National Bank of Moldova, the main factors which affect their efficiency,…
The purpose of this analysis is to simulate, with the help of a Structural Vector Auto Regressive Model, Moldova’s economy dynamic behavior in response to a series of external shocks, such as: a recession in…

Real Economy, no.26

Thursday, 23 February 2012 Published in Publications
Authors: Ana Popa, Valeriu Prohnițchi, Adrian Lupușor,
The slowdown in the economic growth is becoming more obvious, as over the last quarter of 2011 the retail trade and services provided to firms embarked on a downward trend. We anticipate that 2012 will…
Having become member of the Energy Community in 2009, the Republic of Moldova assumed the commitment to transpose the European Union legislation in order to align the standards and operating conditions of the electricity and…

Fiscal Mechanisms for Stimulating Philanthropy

Thursday, 16 February 2012 Published in Publications
Authors: Elena Culiuc,
This study has the goal of identifying the optimal fiscal mechanism for stimulating the corporate philanthropy in Moldova. It begins by presenting main economic theories explaining the corporate decisions of donating money. The study also…
Currently Moldovan health system faces many problems, including persistence of informal payments, inefficiency in health spending, high share of people not covered by the mandatory health insurance, the lack of measurable indicators and values, old…

Fiscal Mechanisms for Stimulating Philanthropy

Thursday, 16 February 2012 Published in Publications
Authors: Elena Culiuc,
This study has the goal of identifying the optimal fiscal mechanism for stimulating the corporate philanthropy in Moldova. It begins by presenting main economic theories explaining the corporate decisions of donating money. The study also…

Real Economy, no.25

Tuesday, 24 January 2012 Published in Publications
Authors: Ana Popa, Adrian Lupușor, Valeriu Prohnițchi,
At the end of the year, the statistical data denote a less favorable situation for the Republic of Moldova, with risks turning into real facts and lowering economic performance . All the GDP components slowed…

Real Economy, no.24

Wednesday, 28 December 2011 Published in Publications
Authors: Ana Popa, Valeriu Prohnițchi, Adrian Lupușor,
This is the fourth annual economic radiography made by the Independent Think-Tank EXPERT-GRUP. We find that the economic growth in 2011 was strong and improved structurally, but consumption continued to be the main growth factor.…
In 2011 the Moldovan economy evolved, to a large extent, by inertia. It is true that in the first semester the economic growth was spectacular in terms of its magnitude and structure. However, the growth…
The regulatory framework of the Moldovan fuels’ market contains several important flaws which negatively affects the competition due to many entrance barriers, the inefficient methodology for computing the market prices, as well as the discrimination…
This study shows that despite all efforts undertaken so far, the CSR remains a concept little understood among Moldovan companies; from another hand, Moldovan companies are not strange to the philanthropy actions, even though they…
In 2010-2011 Moldova has seen an intensification of the attempts of corporate hostile takeovers. In this study, the authors researches the causes of this phenomenon, looks into the relevant international experience that can be useful…
The goal of this Analytical Note is to assess how the draft Law on the 2012 state budget reflects the priorities of the sustainable and inclusive development of the society. In this regards, several sectors…

Real Economy, no.23

Wednesday, 23 November 2011 Published in Publications
Authors: Adrian Lupușor, Ana Popa, Valeriu Prohnițchi, Elena Culiuc,
The most important issues covered by the this issue of the Real Economy are related to the consumers’ rights which have recently became a heated topic of discussion, the main financing sources of consumption, the…
As this issue of the Real Economy shows, we are living a hot political autumn, despite the cold weather outside. This correlates with some warring economic trends nationally and regionally. Important issues covered in this…

Banking Performance Rating, 3rd Quarter, 2011

Thursday, 17 November 2011 Published in Publications
Authors: Adrian Lupușor,
Banking performance rating was elaborated by Expert-Grup with the purpose to objectively evaluate and compare the evolution of Moldovan commercial banks. This edition reflects the banks’ activity for the 3rd quarter 2011, as compared to…
This study presents a brief analysis of the experience with the implementation of the Law on Social Aid in Republic of Moldova in the period 2009-2011. Analysis is conducted both from the perspective of the…
This study aims to assess the potential impact of the future Romania's accession to the Schenghen Area on Republic of Moldova, to identify potential risks and opportunities and to make a number of policy and…
A modest progress was observed in the area of human rights, while planned actions are implemented with delay. The efforts in the justice reforms were concentrated on adopting some strategic documents and working out draft…
Following recent discussions about the inefficiency of the Research, Development and Innovation (RDI) sector in Moldova, recently a draft law on the Academy of Science of Moldova (ASM) was elaborated. Currently ASM's activity is regulated…
On the first sight the Moldovan economy is flourishing. Not only had Moldova  had a high economic growth in Q2'11, but, more importantly, it looks like a healthy growth. However, it is much easier to…
The banking system is deeply integrated into the national economy due to its double role of granting credits and aggregation of firms’ or households’ savings. As a result, its nehavior is very pro-cyclical, being one…

About the Hostile Corporate Takeovers

Wednesday, 14 September 2011 Published in Publications
Authors: Valeriu Prohnițchi,
The attempts of taking over the shares of the shareholders of four commercial banks and one insurance company in July-August 2011 resemble very much to some 'classic' corporate raids with the purpose of robbing the…
The Moldovan economy continued to develop amidst the environment of the ‘provisional’ governance. Such a model of governance featured growing political instability and lingering constitutional crisis, acrimonious infighting in ruling coalition, protracted stalemates in reform…
Banking performance rating was elaborated by Expert-Grup with the purpose to objectively evaluate and compare the evolution of Moldovan commercial banks. This edition reflects the activity of banking institutions during the 2nd quarter of 2011,…
Moldova is placed unfavourably on most indicators measuring the health of the population, which indicates over the weaknesses in the health care system in the Republic of Moldova and over the relatively high financing needs…
The Environmental funds system in Moldova consists of National Environmental Fund and local funds. Over recent years the share of the environmental funds in financing measures aimed to protect the environment has increased significantly due…
Moldova makes a slow progress forward protection of human rights and freedoms. Although the country kept improving the legal framework on respect and protection of human rights, Moldova did not consolidate the human rights protection…
The goal of this document is to evaluate the state support policy for the R&D sector in Moldova from the good governance perspective and to compare Moldova's performances with other countries, so that to clarify…
The economic growth of 8.4 percent in Q1’11 was outstanding, even though Expert-Grup was more optimistic than the Government when revising upward the forecast for 2011 in May this year. As the 20th edition of…
According to the rating results, during the first quarter of 2011 the best banking performance has been registered by the CB „Moldova – Agroindbank” S.A., which was followed by CB „Victoriabank” S.A. and CB „Moldindconbank”…
This policy brief unveils the inconsistency of the Program for development of the food market infrastructure and recommends the Parliamentary Standing Committee for Economy, Budget and Finance not to support the draft law for ammendment…
In the EU we trust. Or so many major political statements, strategic documents and crucial reforms could well start and end... at least, if we judge by the words of Moldovan leaders starting 2005. Indeed,…

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