Analysis and economic forecast
MEGA, 24th edition "Economic Recovery of 2023: forecasts, risks and ways forward"
Thursday, 27 April 2023
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Publications
Authors: Adrian Lupușor, Alexandru Fala, Ecaterina Rusu, Marina Soloviova, Stas Madan,
Authors: Adrian Lupușor, Alexandru Fala, Ecaterina Rusu, Marina Soloviova, Stas Madan,
The Moldovan economy faced an unprecedented mix of crises in 2022, but thanks to proper crisis management and external support it entered 2023 stronger and with good prospects for a speedy recovery. Stagflation, on the…
Top 5 most important positive and negative economic and social developments in 2022, and challenges for 2023
Wednesday, 21 December 2022
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Publications
Authors: Adrian Lupușor, Stas Madan,
Authors: Adrian Lupușor, Stas Madan,
The article is available only in Romanian.
Top cele mai importante evoluții pozitive și negative de ordin economic și social din 2021 și provocări pentru 2022
Monday, 20 December 2021
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Publications
Authors: Adrian Lupușor,
Authors: Adrian Lupușor,
Cele mai importante evoluții economice și sociale pozitive din 2021 țin de recuperarea economică rapidă după recesiunea din 2020, care a permis creșterea încasărilor fiscale și consolidarea bugetară. Pot fi scoase în evidență și soluționarea „crizei gazelor”…
Post-COVID-19 crisis: what will the Moldovan economy look like?
Thursday, 01 April 2021
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Publications
Authors: Valeriu Prohnițchi,
Authors: Valeriu Prohnițchi,
COVID-19 left a rather deep footprint on the Moldovan economy, although the 7% GDP reduction suffered in 2020 was partly due to the impact of the drought. The vulnerability of the Moldovan economy to such…
Evolution of trade between RM and EU in the first few years of the Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Areas Agreement
Wednesday, 25 October 2017
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Publications
Authors: Alexandru Fala,
Authors: Alexandru Fala,
Expert-Grup presented ”Evolution of trade between Republic of Moldova and the European Union in the first few years of the Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Areas Agreement” at the third session of the internal consultation…
Banking Performance Rating in the Republic of Moldova
Wednesday, 11 October 2017
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Publications
Authors: Dumitru Pîntea,
Authors: Dumitru Pîntea,
Expert-Grup launched Moldova's Banking Performance Rating with an interactive dashboard which will be updated monthly, offering a comprehensive analysis of the results delivered by the commercial banks. Publication (Ro) Dashboard (Ro)
Transparency and shareholders' quality rating for Moldovan banks
Thursday, 25 February 2016
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Publications
Authors: Dumitru Pîntea, Adrian Lupușor,
Authors: Dumitru Pîntea, Adrian Lupușor,
This document features a detailed analysis of the shareholders of Moldovan banks, producing a rating of transparency and shareholders’ quality. Excerpt According to the analysis, only four banks (out of 11), exceed the 7 points’…
Evaluation of the Moldovan banking sector for 2015
Thursday, 28 January 2016
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Publications
Authors: Alexandru Fala,
Authors: Alexandru Fala,
Summary Last year was a turning one for Moldovan baking system, when systemic weaknesses combined with large-scale fraudulent transactions have triggered an unprecedented banking crisis. As a result, the reduction of deposits attracted and the…
DCFTA between Moldova and EU after one year
Friday, 04 December 2015
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Publications
Authors: Ana Popa,
Authors: Ana Popa,
Key Messages September 2015 marked one year since the implementation of DCFTA (Deep & Comprehensive Free Trade Agreement) between Moldova and EU began, and its results were overshadowed by the country’s economic and political problems,…
Moldova and Russia: between trade relations and economic dependence
Tuesday, 07 April 2015
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Publications
Authors: Ana Popa,
Authors: Ana Popa,
Key messages of the report. Download the full report here. Russian Federation has been one of the main export partners of the Republic of Moldova during the whole transition period. However, the share of exports…
Minimum wage: between economic efficiency an social equity
Friday, 20 March 2015
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Publications
Authors: Iurie Morcotîlo,
Authors: Iurie Morcotîlo,
Executive Summary The minimum wage remains a tool with contradictory outcomes in terms of income redistribution and social equity goals. Essentially, international data shows that increasing minimum wage does not actually contribute to income convergence.…
Analysis: Fall of Moldovan Leu
Friday, 13 March 2015
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Publications
Authors: Alexandru Fala,
Authors: Alexandru Fala,
Executive Summary Moldova was clearly in “false start” at the beginning of 2015. The turmoil on the foreign exchange market was just a high-intensity sequence in a systemic trend of depreciation of the Moldovan Leu…
2014 Economic Review & Challenges for 2015
Monday, 29 December 2014
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Publications
Expert-Grup is launching its seveth annual economic review of the Republic of Moldova. The review includes: Top 5 successes in 2014 Top 5 failures in 2014 Top 5 challenges for 2015 The document includes 7…
First results of the financial education project "Learn! Give sense to money"
Monday, 24 November 2014
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Publications
The press release in available only in Romanian.
How does the Association Agreement with the EU tackle the challenges in Moldova's agriculture
Friday, 07 November 2014
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Publications
This publication is only available in Romanian.
Chișinău and the rest of the country - two parallel realities
Monday, 06 October 2014
Published in
Publications
Authors: Iurie Morcotîlo,
Authors: Iurie Morcotîlo,
This publication is only available in Romanian.
Opportunities of European standards and destiny of GOSTs
Monday, 22 September 2014
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Publications
Authors: Denis Cenușă,
Authors: Denis Cenușă,
The full use of economic opportunities offered by the European Union Association Agreement requires imminent alignment with the European legislation, which implies application of technical regulations and progressive adoption of the European Standards (EN), as…
What countries can replace Russia's market for Moldovan products?
Tuesday, 26 August 2014
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Publications
Authors: Iurie Morcotîlo, Adrian Lupușor,
Authors: Iurie Morcotîlo, Adrian Lupușor,
The study assesses the perspectives of alternative export markets for Moldovan products that were restricted in Russian Federation, in order contribute to the optimization of Moldova’s export geography and to reduce the medium term risks.…
Why do we need trade liberalization with the EU?
Wednesday, 16 July 2014
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Publications
Authors: Adrian Lupușor,
Authors: Adrian Lupușor,
The Association Agreement undoubtedly marks a higher level in the bilateral relations between our country and the European Union. This will grant Moldovan products a larger access towards the EU market and will involve a large-scale…
Moldovan Economic Review for 2013
Friday, 27 December 2013
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Publications
This is the sixth annual economic review developed by Independent Think-Tank EXPERT-GRUP. By far, similar reviews were made between 2008-2012, aimed to offer our readers a comprehensive look over the major economic evolutions of the…
Explaining the Moldovan economy’s mechanisms: quantitative computing
Friday, 25 October 2013
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Publications
Authors: Alexandru Fala,
Authors: Alexandru Fala,
This study is developed based on a structural model with regression equations which shows the quantitative features of the Moldova economic relationships. The causal relationships, as well as external variables were determined under the opinion…
Relevance of the Economic Leading Indicator for assessment of the Moldova's economic cycle
Monday, 09 July 2012
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Publications
Authors: Adrian Lupușor,
Authors: Adrian Lupușor,
In April 2012, has developed and launched the Economic Leading Indicator (ELI), a special analytic tool very useful for the assessment of the economic fluctuations and for anticipation of the short-term shocks. With longer time…
Constraints Analysis
Friday, 15 October 2010
Published in
Publications
Authors: Alex Oprunenco, Ana Popa,
Authors: Alex Oprunenco, Ana Popa,
Main goal of the report is to identify the critical constraints to economic growth of Republic of Moldova, using the methodology that Hausmann, Rodrik and Velasco proposed in their 2005 study "Growth Diagnostics". The report…
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