MEGA – Moldova Economic Growth Analysis
MEGA, 24th edition "Economic Recovery of 2023: forecasts, risks and ways forward"
Thursday, 27 April 2023
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Publications
Authors: Adrian Lupușor, Alexandru Fala, Ecaterina Rusu, Marina Soloviova, Stas Madan,
Authors: Adrian Lupușor, Alexandru Fala, Ecaterina Rusu, Marina Soloviova, Stas Madan,
The Moldovan economy faced an unprecedented mix of crises in 2022, but thanks to proper crisis management and external support it entered 2023 stronger and with good prospects for a speedy recovery. Stagflation, on the…
MEGA, the XXIII-rd edition: ”The economy in 2022: from recovery to stagflation?”
Monday, 31 January 2022
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Publications
Authors: Alexandru Fala, Ecaterina Rusu, Marina Soloviova, Stas Madan, Valeriu Prohnițchi,
Authors: Alexandru Fala, Ecaterina Rusu, Marina Soloviova, Stas Madan, Valeriu Prohnițchi,
In 2021, the Republic of Moldova recorded the highest GDP growth rate over the past three decades. While there are some structural improvements, this growth should not be the reason for an exaggerated optimism. After…
MEGA, the XXII-nd edition: ”The economy and public finances in 2021: Risks, forecasts and policy recommendations for recovery”
Tuesday, 16 February 2021
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Publications
Authors: Adrian Lupușor, Alexandru Fala, Dumitru Pîntea, Stas Madan, Tatiana Savva, Vadim Gumene,
Authors: Adrian Lupușor, Alexandru Fala, Dumitru Pîntea, Stas Madan, Tatiana Savva, Vadim Gumene,
The year 2020 was marked by the overlap of two major crises (the Covid-19 pandemic and the drought), causing the most severe recession in the last 20 years. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) estimated for 2020…
MEGA, the XXIst edition ”Economic growth and public finances during an electoral period: conclusions from 2019 and forecasts for 2020”
Thursday, 30 January 2020
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Publications
Authors: Adrian Lupușor, Alexandru Fala, Dumitru Pîntea, Iurie Morcotîlo, Tatiana Savva, Vadim Gumene,
Authors: Adrian Lupușor, Alexandru Fala, Dumitru Pîntea, Iurie Morcotîlo, Tatiana Savva, Vadim Gumene,
After a relatively favorable economic year, 2020 brings more macroeconomic challenges, with major risks for the public finance system. Overall, the economic growth in 2020 will be tempered compared to the result recorded in 2019.…
MEGA, the XXth edition: ”Economic challenges following political turbulence”
Wednesday, 24 July 2019
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Publications
Authors: Alexandru Fala, Dumitru Pîntea, Iurie Morcotîlo, Vadim Gumene, Valeriu Prohnițchi,
Authors: Alexandru Fala, Dumitru Pîntea, Iurie Morcotîlo, Vadim Gumene, Valeriu Prohnițchi,
In the last quarter of 2018 and all through the first half of the current year, the economy grew amidst a slight intensification of inflation anticipations and pressure on the Moldovan Leu exchange rates. Seasonally-adjusted…
MEGA, XIXth edition ”Economy in seatbelts – elections are coming”
Thursday, 13 December 2018
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Publications
Authors: Alexandru Fala, Dumitru Pîntea, Eugen Ghilețchi, Vadim Gumene, Valeriu Prohnițchi,
Authors: Alexandru Fala, Dumitru Pîntea, Eugen Ghilețchi, Vadim Gumene, Valeriu Prohnițchi,
Major Economic Evolutions in 2018 In 2018 the Moldovan economy generally developed as forecast, but new risks emerged. Our estimates show that GDP increased by 4.2% - 4.6%, on a broad basis which included almost…
MEGA, XVIIIth edition: Economic perspectives in an electoral year
Tuesday, 24 April 2018
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Publications
Authors: Adrian Lupușor, Alexandru Fala, Dumitru Pîntea, Iurie Morcotîlo, Vadim Gumene,
Authors: Adrian Lupușor, Alexandru Fala, Dumitru Pîntea, Iurie Morcotîlo, Vadim Gumene,
National economy is approaching an unfavorable equilibrium, marked by low growth rates. In spite of favorable conditions (good agricultural year, re-launch of external assistance, increase in external demand and increase in remittances), the Gross Domestic…
MEGA, XVIIth edition: Conclusions of the economic year 2017 and forecasts for 2018
Thursday, 14 December 2017
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Publications
Authors: Adrian Lupușor, Alexandru Fala, Dumitru Pîntea, Iurie Morcotîlo, Vadim Gumene,
Authors: Adrian Lupușor, Alexandru Fala, Dumitru Pîntea, Iurie Morcotîlo, Vadim Gumene,
The economic year of 2017 fell short of expectations: Gross Domestic Product felt under the pessimistic scenario of our forecast made early in the year (3.0% – 4.0%). The initial GDP growth forecast of 6% …
MEGA, XVIth Edition: Mysteries of economic growth after the storm
Thursday, 18 May 2017
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Publications
Authors: Adrian Lupușor, Alexandru Fala, Dumitru Pîntea, Iurie Morcotîlo, Sergiu Gaibu, Vadim Gumene,
Authors: Adrian Lupușor, Alexandru Fala, Dumitru Pîntea, Iurie Morcotîlo, Sergiu Gaibu, Vadim Gumene,
The economic growth of 2016 was higher than forecasted, but lower than the optimal level. The Gross Domestic Product of the Republic of Moldova increased by 4.1% in 2016, exceeding the forecasts from the previous…
Economic recovery of 2016 - 2017 - sustainable path or iceberg effect?
Thursday, 08 December 2016
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Publications
Authors: Adrian Lupușor, Alexandru Fala, Ana Popa, Dumitru Pîntea, Vadim Gumene, Valeriu Prohnițchi,
Authors: Adrian Lupușor, Alexandru Fala, Ana Popa, Dumitru Pîntea, Vadim Gumene, Valeriu Prohnițchi,
• Although the 2016 economic year was more favorable compared to 2015, it confirmed that the main problem of the Moldovan economy remaines its poor competitiveness. After the recession of 2015 (-0,5%), the Gross Domestic…
MEGA XIV: In the aftermath of the banking fraud (Q2-2016)
Wednesday, 06 April 2016
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Publications
Authors: Adrian Lupușor, Alexandru Fala, Ana Popa, Dumitru Pîntea, Iurie Morcotîlo, Vadim Gumene,
Authors: Adrian Lupușor, Alexandru Fala, Ana Popa, Dumitru Pîntea, Iurie Morcotîlo, Vadim Gumene,
Key messages of this edition Despite internal and external constraints, in 2015 the economy fell by only 0.5%, which was close to the baselinescenario of the Expert-Grup forecast (-0.8%) for the given year. The only…
MEGA Q4-2015: 2015 was the year when everything in our economy turned bad
Thursday, 17 December 2015
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Publications
Authors: Adrian Lupușor, Alexandru Fala, Ana Popa, Iurie Morcotîlo, Vadim Gumene,
Authors: Adrian Lupușor, Alexandru Fala, Ana Popa, Iurie Morcotîlo, Vadim Gumene,
This is the 13th issue of the Moldova Economic Growth Analysis (MEGA), which analyzes the key macroeconomic and sector-level trends in 2015 and provides forecasts for key economic indicators for the next two years. Key…
MEGA XII: The year of a looming crisis, Q1-2015
Wednesday, 15 April 2015
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Publications
Authors: Adrian Lupușor, Alexandru Fala, Iurie Morcotîlo, Denis Cenușă,
Authors: Adrian Lupușor, Alexandru Fala, Iurie Morcotîlo, Denis Cenușă,
See below the abstract. Download here the full report in English. The 2015 is going to be a difficult economic year, the Gross Domestic Product being expected to decline by about 0.2% according to the…
MEGA XI: From political economy to economic policies
Thursday, 11 December 2014
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MEGA – Moldova Economic Growth Analysis
Authors: Adrian Lupușor, Alexandru Fala, Iurie Morcotîlo,
Authors: Adrian Lupușor, Alexandru Fala, Iurie Morcotîlo,
Expert-Grup launched the 11th issue of the economic magazine MEGA: Moldova Economic Growth Analysis. The current edition analyzes the key macroeconomic and sector-level trends in 2014, provides forecasts for key economic indicators for 2015 and offers…
MEGA: Moldovan Economic Growth Analysis, Q1-2014 (#10)
Thursday, 03 April 2014
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Publications
Authors: Adrian Lupușor, Adrian Babin, Alexandru Fala, Denis Cenușă, Iurie Morcotîlo,
Authors: Adrian Lupușor, Adrian Babin, Alexandru Fala, Denis Cenușă, Iurie Morcotîlo,
Independent Think-Tank EXPERT-GRUP presents the findings of its 10th issue of the Moldova Economic Growth Analysis (MEGA), which analyzes the evolution of the Moldovan economy in 2013 and the beginning of 2014, explains the key…
MEGA - Moldova Economic Growth Analysis, no. 9, 2013
Thursday, 15 August 2013
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Publications
The Moldovan economy will post a fledgling recovery in 2013, being followed by a moderate stabilization in 2014. Hence, favorable climate conditions from the current year will trigger a 20% compensatory growth in agriculture, which…
MEGA - Moldova Economic Growth Analysis, no. 8, 2012
Tuesday, 12 February 2013
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Publications
Authors: Ana Popa, Adrian Lupușor, Valeriu Prohnițchi,
Authors: Ana Popa, Adrian Lupușor, Valeriu Prohnițchi,
External and weather shocks are to be blamed for the economic downturn Moldova suffered in 2012. At the same time, as we warned repeatedly in previous editions of the MEGA, the vulnerability of Moldovan economy…
MEGA - Moldova Economic Growth Analysis, no.7, 2012
Tuesday, 30 October 2012
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Publications
Authors: Ana Popa, Valeriu Prohnițchi, Adrian Lupușor,
Authors: Ana Popa, Valeriu Prohnițchi, Adrian Lupușor,
While risks and uncertainties still persist in European and global economy, it seems that the peak had been already achieved and Moldova is currently on its light recovery path from external shocks as our own…
MEGA - Moldova Economic Growth Analysis, no.6, 2012
Thursday, 26 July 2012
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Publications
Authors: Adrian Lupușor, Ana Popa, Valeriu Prohnițchi,
Authors: Adrian Lupușor, Ana Popa, Valeriu Prohnițchi,
The recurrence of some tendencies similar to those during 2008-2009 crisis points out the vulnerability of Moldovan economy to external shocks and its incapacity to tackle the challenges from inside the country. We cannot expect…
MEGA - Moldova Economic Growth Analysis, nr. 5 - 2011
Friday, 23 December 2011
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Publications
Authors: Adrian Lupușor, Ana Popa, Dumitru Budianschi, Elena Culiuc, Valeriu Prohnițchi,
Authors: Adrian Lupușor, Ana Popa, Dumitru Budianschi, Elena Culiuc, Valeriu Prohnițchi,
In 2011 the Moldovan economy evolved, to a large extent, by inertia. It is true that in the first semester the economic growth was spectacular in terms of its magnitude and structure. However, the growth…
MEGA - Moldova Economic Growth Analysis, no.4, 2011
Tuesday, 09 August 2011
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Publications
Authors: Adrian Lupușor, Ana Popa, Valeriu Prohnițchi, Dumitru Budianschi, Elena Culiuc, Alex Oprunenco,
Authors: Adrian Lupușor, Ana Popa, Valeriu Prohnițchi, Dumitru Budianschi, Elena Culiuc, Alex Oprunenco,
The Moldovan economy continued to develop amidst the environment of the ‘provisional’ governance. Such a model of governance featured growing political instability and lingering constitutional crisis, acrimonious infighting in ruling coalition, protracted stalemates in reform…
MEGA - Moldova Economic Growth Analysis, no.3, 2010
Friday, 24 December 2010
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Publications
Authors: Adrian Lupușor, Ana Popa, Alex Oprunenco, Valeriu Prohnițchi,
Authors: Adrian Lupușor, Ana Popa, Alex Oprunenco, Valeriu Prohnițchi,
Since its inception, the Alliance for European Integration faced a tall order of multiple and often competing goals. Despite the short-term political horizon, the AEI can boast significant achievements in the past year: stabilising the…
MEGA - Moldova Economic Growth Analysis, no.2, 2009
Monday, 30 November 2009
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Publications
Authors: Ana Popa, Adrian Lupușor, Alex Oprunenco, Valeriu Prohnițchi, Victoria Vasilescu,
Authors: Ana Popa, Adrian Lupușor, Alex Oprunenco, Valeriu Prohnițchi, Victoria Vasilescu,
With a string of domestic and external crises the year 2009 has clearly shown how fragile and illusory have the economic growth and modernisation been in Moldova in the last decade. The expected GDP decline…
MEGA - Moldova Economic Growth Analysis, no.1, 2009
Friday, 15 May 2009
Published in
Publications
Authors: Ana Popa, Alex Oprunenco, Adrian Lupușor, Valeriu Prohnițchi, Victoria Vasilescu,
Authors: Ana Popa, Alex Oprunenco, Adrian Lupușor, Valeriu Prohnițchi, Victoria Vasilescu,
MEGA has the purpose to explain the economic evolutions in Moldova, to update economic policy analysis and to provide policy recommendations for advancing country’s economic development. The first issue of the MEGA is dedicated to…
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JEL Categories
Juournal of Economic Literature
- A – General Economics and Teaching
- B – History of Economic Thought, Methodology, and Heterodox Approaches
- C – Mathematical and Quantitative Methods
- D – Microeconomics
- E – Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
- F – International Economics
- G – Financial Economics
- H – Public Economics
- I – Health, Education, and Welfare
- J – Labor and Demographic Economics
- K – Law and Economics
- L – Industrial Organization
- M – Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting
- N – Economic History
- O – Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth
- P – Economic Systems
- Q – Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics
- R – Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Economics
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